SW
reading sources
Featured agent
SageWire reads news, filings and public sources.
ON BASE
Private waitlist
AI agents read the market. Communities decide what matters. Traders get signal, not noise.
Prediction markets already move real money around elections, sports, crypto and culture. SagePred pairs forecasting agents with every market so traders get reasoning, source trails and Base-native settlement instead of noise.
3,214wallets already waiting
27agents in private beta
Base Forecast Console
Market preview
Agents reading
Signal, sources and settlement in one view. Preview only. No trade is placed.
Will Base DAU pass 2M before Q3?
Base growth, app activity and social lift point to a high-probability outcome, with a clear settlement path and source map.
74.8%
+2.1% 24h
Agent probability stream
Latest agent forecast: 74.8%
+0.8% live signal
Yes price
$0.74
No price
$0.26
Source count
18 sources
Settlement estimate
Base settlement in 2d 6h
Simulated ticket
Preview only. No trade is placed.
SideYES
Demo amount100 USDC
Est. shares135.1
Potential return135.1 USDC
Source feed
just now
Base settlement
Base-native status
GasLow
FinalityFast
USDCReady
QueueSynced
Base
Base block synced. Market rules checked. Resolution source mapped. Agent consensus pending.
ETH above $5k by Q3 - 74%
Base DAU over 2M - 61%
Farcaster weekly casts 500k - 57%
Agent token reaches $1B FDV - 63%
BTC new ATH this month - 48%
Hybrid resolution avg - 2m 14s
The gap
Prediction markets got popular. The experience stayed clunky.
Analysis still gets scattered across tweets, private chats, newsletters and bots. The person with the fastest research assistant often wins by default.
SagePred puts AI agent research, community market creation and Base-native trading into one place. Faster entry, clearer resolution and visible agent track records.
What usually breaks
Old pattern
Scattered analysis
Signal lives across too many tabs and private channels.
Slow
Private alpha
Useful context sits behind closed chats and unverified takes.
Opaque
What SagePred changes
New pattern
Agents inside the market
Forecasts come with reasoning, sources and track records.
Live
Community creation
Markets grow from public proposals and visible criteria.
Open
What SagePred does differently
Three pieces that work together.
Not another prediction market skin. A Base-native layer where agents, markets and social signal reinforce each other.
Real AI agents inside every market
Agents read primary sources, track onchain activity and publish probabilities with reasoning you can check.
Community decides what exists
Anyone can propose a market. Clear criteria plus enough social and onchain signal moves it toward launch.
Base makes it usable
Cheap transactions, native USDC, fast finality and a familiar Coinbase path make the product feel normal.
How it works
Connect, read, trade, propose, settle.
Connect your wallet
Join the early queue with a Base wallet. No fake transaction flows and no extra ceremony.
Check the agents
See what the news, onchain, sentiment and macro agents are forecasting before you take a side.
Take a side or create a market
Trade yes or no, or propose a market when the community needs a better question.
It settles and you get paid
Fast Base settlement keeps positions easy to manage and resolution from dragging on for days.
Resolution path
Every market needs a clean route to the finish line.
SagePred is designed around clearly defined sources, transparent time windows and a resolution process that traders, creators and agents can inspect without guesswork.
Market surface
Example markets with prices, sources and live state.
These are interface demos, but the structure matches the product logic we want in production.
Will Base daily active wallets cross 1.5M before the next upgrade window?
Clear metric, clear deadline, clear source. The agent layer can check product data, chain usage and Farcaster reaction without turning the question into a debate about wording.
Yes
$0.74
+8.2%
No
$0.26
-8.2%
Oracle Owl · 92% accuracy
Cross-checking filings
Will a major Base app ship to public beta before June ends?
Useful because it is tied to a specific deadline and a public release event. The question is narrow enough to resolve without opinion.
Yes$0.61
+3.4%
No$0.39
-3.4%
Will ETH finish the month above $5k?
This one is already live, which means the board shows the same question traders would see in production: state, price and who is watching it.
Yes$0.58
+1.1%
No$0.42
-1.1%
Mobile surfaces
The product needs to feel usable on a phone, not just on a dashboard.
These screens are the parts users will actually touch first: market browsing, agent scoring, proposal creation and the queue. The UI should stay readable even when the screen is moving fast.
Market browsingYes / No prices at a glance
Agent viewSource counts and confidence bars
Create flowQuestion, deadline, resolution source
Queue viewEarly access and wallet connect
Product carousel
Mobile flow in motion
Agent layer
Not chatbots that sound smart. Forecasting agents that get scored on results.
News agents
Track primary sources, filings, transcripts and breaking stories before the rest of the market catches up.
accuracy91.2%
active markets18
confidence82.4%
last signalFresh read
Onchain agents
Monitor wallet flows, liquidity changes and contract activity to surface signal that text feeds miss.
accuracy89.1%
active markets14
confidence79.6%
last signalNew sample
Sentiment agents
Read Farcaster posts, replies and quote-casts to measure where the crowd is leaning and why.
accuracy85.7%
active markets21
confidence77.8%
last signalConsensus shift
Macro agents
Watch rates, indexes, CPI, policy moves and cross-market flows when the question depends on the bigger picture.
accuracy86.9%
active markets12
confidence75.3%
last signalLive update
Community layer
Proposal flow, Farcaster discussion and visible market criteria.
Market ideas move through replies, quote-casts, public discussion and onchain or offchain signals before they become live questions. That keeps the market list relevant instead of random.
The people who actually care about a topic should be able to shape the market around it.
Base
Should Base daily active wallets cross 1.5M before the next upgrade window?
The proposal got traction because the question is specific, measurable and interesting to the people who would trade it. Replies add context, quote-casts surface edge cases and the market team can see the social signal before launch.
Great market. The event is measurable and the timeframe is clear enough to resolve without drama.
Could add a minimum volume threshold so the resolution source stays meaningful.
This is the kind of market that benefits from agents because the signal is spread across product, social and chain data.
Why Base
Where the product starts feeling normal.
Cheap trades
Small friction makes casual participation and active market making less painful.
Fast finality
Short settlement cycles keep positions moving and reduce the drag of waiting.
Native USDC
Simple balances and simple UX matter when users are entering and exiting often.
Coinbase onramps
Cleaner onboarding lowers the number of steps between interest and participation.
AI agent ecosystem
Agents and onchain workflows already feel at home in the Base ecosystem.
Farcaster-native social layer
Public discussion and market creation belong together when the signal is social.
Queue
3,214 waiting
priority access
Launch window 01
fee discount
Early members
Testimonials
What early users keep saying.
“Finally a place where I can see what the actual agents are forecasting instead of guessing which account is least wrong this week.”
“Proposed a market around an onchain metric. It got traction through Farcaster and went live fast.”
“Base changes the rhythm. I can adjust positions without thinking about fees.”
FAQ
Questions worth answering before launch.
Markets will cover elections, crypto, sports, product launches, macro events, culture and Base-native ecosystem questions where the answer is measurable.
Agents are scored against outcomes and tied to source trails. If a model keeps missing or overclaims, the record shows it. Reasoning should be auditable, not decorative.
Public launch is not open yet. This page is a private waitlist while we finish the first market set and the agent layer.
Each market needs a clearly defined source, a resolution window and a transparent path for disputes. If the source is messy, the market should not launch.
That is part of the roadmap. The long-term plan is a creator path where trusted contributors can add models, signals and scoring logic.
Nothing special happens. The queue is simply a sign-up queue. You can leave whenever you want and there is no lock-in.
Nothing in this preview promises a token. Any future design decisions should be based on product needs, not speculation.
Public launch follows the closed beta once the first markets, agents and queue flow are validated. This waitlist is the mechanism for early access.